Tennis · M25 Darwin · 08/10, 09:00
Prediction: Jake Delaney vs Wihan Van Der Merwe
Team pages: Jake Delaney · Wihan Van Der Merwe
Prediction summary
Winner
Jake Delaney
Wihan Van Der Merwe
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jake Delaney
3-7 (W-L)
Wihan Van Der Merwe
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jake Delaney 1486 · Wihan Van Der Merwe 1466
| Jake Delaney | Wihan Van Der Merwe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jake Delaney | Wihan Van Der Merwe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.8 | 10.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 11.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 78.8% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Harrison Satara M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Lachlan Vickery M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 01/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Wihan Van Der Merwe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Adrian Arcon M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Stefan Storch M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Andre Filep UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Daniel Howard UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Veerawit Kamput M15 Nonthaburi Qual · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 30/08 | Keerthivassan Suresh M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-8 | L |
| 22/07 | Matt Hulme M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jake Delaney vs Wihan Van Der Merwe?
Our model gives 73% to Jake Delaney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.