Tennis · W50 Lexington · 07/10, 17:30
Prediction: Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Mia Slama
Team pages: Lucciana Perez Alarcon · Mia Slama
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Mia Slama
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
7-3 (W-L)
Mia Slama
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucciana Perez Alarcon 1546 · Mia Slama 1512
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Mia Slama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucciana Perez Alarcon | Mia Slama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.6 | 9.2-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 61.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Tatjana Maria W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 29/09 | Mayu Crossley W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Kelly Keller W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Janae Preston W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 25/09 | Emma Kamper W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Reina Goto W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Ena Koike W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Fangran Tian WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 08/08 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Chacabuco |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Lorena Schaedel W35 Chacabuco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Mia Slama
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Jensen Diianni W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Kate Sharabura W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Malaika Rapolu W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Granby |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Sachia Vickery W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Anastasia Malysheva W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Francoise Abanda W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Caroline Driscoll W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Yexin Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucciana Perez Alarcon vs Mia Slama?
Our model gives 64% to Lucciana Perez Alarcon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.