Tennis · W50 Lexington · 08/10, 16:00
Prediction: Arantxa Rus vs Malaika Rapolu
Team pages: Arantxa Rus · Malaika Rapolu
Prediction summary
Winner
Arantxa Rus
Malaika Rapolu
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Arantxa Rus
5-5 (W-L)
Malaika Rapolu
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arantxa Rus 1519 · Malaika Rapolu 1553
| Arantxa Rus | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Arantxa Rus | Malaika Rapolu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.1 | 11.4-7.1 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arantxa Rus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Ena Koike W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | Mia Ristic WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Leolia Jeanjean US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Susan Bandecchi US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Suzan Lamens US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Teodora Kostovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Britt Du Pree W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Anna Kubareva W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Oceane Dodin W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Malaika Rapolu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Dalayna Hewitt W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Tatjana Maria W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Akasha Urhobo W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Carmen Andreea Herea W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Caroline Werner WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Sofia Johnson WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Katie Swan W50 Evora |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arantxa Rus vs Malaika Rapolu?
Our model gives 61% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.