Tennis · W50 Lexington · 08/10, 16:00
Prediction: Hina Inoue vs Lea Ma
Team pages: Hina Inoue · Lea Ma
Prediction summary
Winner
Hina Inoue
Lea Ma
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Hina Inoue
4-6 (W-L)
Lea Ma
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hina Inoue 1506 · Lea Ma 1506
| Hina Inoue | Lea Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hina Inoue | Lea Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.3 | 9.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hina Inoue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Kylie Collins W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Mutsumi Uemura W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 11/09 | Yufei Ren W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Sofia Costoulas W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Miho Kuramochi W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Olivia Lincer W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Dana Guzman W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Lea Ma
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Linea Bajraliu W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Tatjana Maria W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Victoria Hu W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Alana Smith WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Granby |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Lizette Cabrera W75 Granby |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Haruka Kaji W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hina Inoue vs Lea Ma?
Our model gives 58% to Lea Ma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.