Tennis · W50 Lexington · 08/10, 17:30
Prediction: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Kaitlyn Carnicella
Team pages: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson · Kaitlyn Carnicella
Prediction summary
Winner
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
Kaitlyn Carnicella
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
6-4 (W-L)
Kaitlyn Carnicella
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 1498 · Kaitlyn Carnicella 1501
| Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | Kaitlyn Carnicella | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Kaitlyn Carnicella makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | Kaitlyn Carnicella | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.2 | 11.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 59% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Ema Burgic W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Carla Tomai WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 16/09 | Lisa Pigato WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/09 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Lola Radivojevic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Eva Bennemann W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 29/07 | Ida Wobker W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Beatrise Zeltina W75 Cordenons |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Marta Lombardini W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Kaitlyn Carnicella
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Helena Buchwald W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Mayu Crossley W35 Southaven |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Florence |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Mariam Bolkvadze W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Maria Aytoyan W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Salma Ewing W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Alina Shcherbinina W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 13/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Kaitlyn Carnicella?
Our model gives 64% to Kajsa Rinaldo Persson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.