Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 08/10, 04:00
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Alibek Kachmazov
Team pages: Evan Zhu · Alibek Kachmazov
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Zhu
Alibek Kachmazov
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Zhu
8-2 (W-L)
Alibek Kachmazov
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Evan Zhu
1–0
Alibek Kachmazov
(1 last)
- 09 May2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1572 · Alibek Kachmazov 1667
| Evan Zhu | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alibek Kachmazov (rating 1572 vs 1667).
- Alibek Kachmazov dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 57% break avg.
- Alibek Kachmazov is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Evan Zhu 1–0 Alibek Kachmazov (1).
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 2-0.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.8 | 12.7-6.6 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 81.9% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 57% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Evan Zhu 1 – 0 Alibek Kachmazov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Evan Zhu 1–0 Alibek Kachmazov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/22 Challenger Shymkent | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Zhiheng Xia Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Henry Searle Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Aleksi Lofman Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alibek Kachmazov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Charles Broom Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/10 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/10 | Yan Lang Chen Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Sheng Tang M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Xirui Han M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Alibek Kachmazov?
Our model gives 63% to Alibek Kachmazov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.