Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 09/10, 06:30
Prediction: Fajing Sun vs Alibek Kachmazov
Team pages: Fajing Sun · Alibek Kachmazov
Prediction summary
Winner
Fajing Sun
Alibek Kachmazov
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Fajing Sun
5-5 (W-L)
Alibek Kachmazov
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Fajing Sun
0–2
Alibek Kachmazov
(2 last)
- 29 Apr0-2 10-13L
- 16 Oct0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fajing Sun 1504 · Alibek Kachmazov 1613
| Fajing Sun | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alibek Kachmazov (rating 1504 vs 1613).
- Alibek Kachmazov dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 51.9% break avg.
- Alibek Kachmazov is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Fajing Sun 0–2 Alibek Kachmazov (2).
Statistics
| Fajing Sun | Alibek Kachmazov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 2-0.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.4 | 12.8-6.9 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 82% |
| Break % | 33% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Fajing Sun 0 – 2 Alibek Kachmazov (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fajing Sun 0–2 Alibek Kachmazov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/25 Challenger Guangzhou | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/10/23 Challenger Shenzhen | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fajing Sun
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/09 | Roman Safiullin ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Bernard Tomic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Matthew Dellavedova ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/09 | Jie Cui Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Alibek Kachmazov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Charles Broom Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/10 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/10 | Yan Lang Chen Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Sheng Tang M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Xirui Han M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fajing Sun vs Alibek Kachmazov?
Our model gives 63% to Alibek Kachmazov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.