Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 09/10, 06:30
Prediction: Jay Friend vs Ryan Seggerman
Team pages: Jay Friend · Ryan Seggerman
Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Friend
Ryan Seggerman
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Friend
5-5 (W-L)
Ryan Seggerman
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Friend 1565 · Ryan Seggerman 1559
| Jay Friend | Ryan Seggerman | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ryan Seggerman makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Jay Friend | Ryan Seggerman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.9 | 14.8-13.3 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 21.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 80.4% |
| Break % | 59.1% | 31.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Friend
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Ryan Seggerman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 05/10 | Maxim Zhukov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Naoki Tajima Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 22/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Friend vs Ryan Seggerman?
Our model gives 56% to Jay Friend, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.