Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 08/10, 10:00
Prediction: Manuel Mazza vs Ivan Ivanov
Team pages: Manuel Mazza · Ivan Ivanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Manuel Mazza
Ivan Ivanov
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Manuel Mazza
6-4 (W-L)
Ivan Ivanov
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manuel Mazza 1597 · Ivan Ivanov 1491
| Manuel Mazza | Ivan Ivanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manuel Mazza (rating 1597 vs 1491).
- Manuel Mazza is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Manuel Mazza | Ivan Ivanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.8 | 9-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 56.5% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manuel Mazza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Niels Visker Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Ivan Ivanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manuel Mazza vs Ivan Ivanov?
Our model gives 51% to Ivan Ivanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.