Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 07/10, 10:00
Prediction: Rares Teodor Pieleanu vs Alexander Chang
Team pages: Rares Teodor Pieleanu · Alexander Chang
Prediction summary
Winner
Rares Teodor Pieleanu
Alexander Chang
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Rares Teodor Pieleanu
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Chang
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rares Teodor Pieleanu 1492 · Alexander Chang 1583
| Rares Teodor Pieleanu | Alexander Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Chang (rating 1492 vs 1583).
- Alexander Chang is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Rares Teodor Pieleanu makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Rares Teodor Pieleanu | Alexander Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.8 | 13.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 32.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rares Teodor Pieleanu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Florian Broska M25 Slobozia |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Stefan Horia Haita M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Stefan Popovic M25 Zlatibor |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Buzau |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Leo Lagarrigue M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Gabriel Sardo M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Targu Jiu |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Alexander Chang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Filippo Alfano M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Karan Singh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/09 | Nathan Anthony Barki M15 Bali |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Leo Borg M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Reece Falck M15 Bali |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Leo Borg M15 Bali |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Mathieu Perchicot ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Anthony Susanto ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/08 | Vadym Konovchuk ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rares Teodor Pieleanu vs Alexander Chang?
Our model gives 56% to Alexander Chang, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.