Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 07/10, 10:00
Prediction: Giovanni Oradini vs Marco Furlanetto
Team pages: Giovanni Oradini · Marco Furlanetto
Prediction summary
Winner
Giovanni Oradini
Marco Furlanetto
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Oradini
3-7 (W-L)
Marco Furlanetto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovanni Oradini 1489 · Marco Furlanetto 1545
| Giovanni Oradini | Marco Furlanetto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marco Furlanetto (rating 1489 vs 1545).
- Giovanni Oradini dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 44.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Giovanni Oradini | Marco Furlanetto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.8 | 11.5-8.3 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovanni Oradini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Kody Pearson Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Andrej Martin M15 Vienna |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Alexander Wagner M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Marco Furlanetto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Toby Martin M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Victor Ryden M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Henri Haupt M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Eliot Nobel M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Stefan Popovic M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/04 | Giammarco Gandolfi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/04 | Andrea Zanini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 01/04 | Niccolo Catini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 31/03 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovanni Oradini vs Marco Furlanetto?
Our model gives 63% to Giovanni Oradini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.