Tennis · M25 Darwin · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Nikolas Baker vs Stefan Vujic
Team pages: Nikolas Baker · Stefan Vujic
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikolas Baker
Stefan Vujic
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nikolas Baker
7-3 (W-L)
Stefan Vujic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikolas Baker 1557 · Stefan Vujic 1468
| Nikolas Baker | Stefan Vujic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikolas Baker (rating 1557 vs 1468).
- Nikolas Baker dominates on serve: 6 aces and 71% break avg.
- Nikolas Baker is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nikolas Baker | Stefan Vujic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.7 | 11.4-11.9 |
| Aces | 6 | 9.6 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 77.5% |
| Break % | 71% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikolas Baker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Alec Braund M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Oliver King UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Brendan Loh UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Luka Vujacic UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Casey Ambler UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Jeremy Beale UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/05 | Ethan Connelly UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/05 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Stefan Vujic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/09 | Yue Xia M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Yuquan Jin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Wenze Li M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Zak Talic M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Dan Added M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jeffrey Strydom M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikolas Baker vs Stefan Vujic?
Our model gives 58% to Stefan Vujic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.