Tennis · M25 Darwin · 07/10, 07:30
Prediction: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Casey Hoole
Team pages: Jack Bruce-Smith · Casey Hoole
Prediction summary
Winner
Jack Bruce-Smith
Casey Hoole
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jack Bruce-Smith
6-4 (W-L)
Casey Hoole
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jack Bruce-Smith 1518 · Casey Hoole 1587
| Jack Bruce-Smith | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Hoole (rating 1518 vs 1587).
- Casey Hoole dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 48.1% break avg.
- Casey Hoole is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Jack Bruce-Smith makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Jack Bruce-Smith | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.9-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.7 | 14.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 79.8% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 34% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jack Bruce-Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Dimitri Bagaric M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Lachlan Vickery M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Haruto Ishikawa M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Matthew Shearer M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Jake Dembo ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Mathieu Perchicot ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Andras Necz ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Ivan Sodan ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Raghav Jaisinghani ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Casey Hoole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/10 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/09 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Wihan Van Der Merwe UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Daniel Howard UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jack Bruce-Smith vs Casey Hoole?
Our model gives 73% to Casey Hoole, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.