Tennis · M25 Darwin · 07/10, 07:30

Prediction: Wihan Van Der Merwe vs Adrian Arcon

Team pages: Wihan Van Der Merwe · Adrian Arcon

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Wihan Van Der Merwe Adrian Arcon
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Wihan Van Der Merwe 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWWLLWW
Adrian Arcon 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wihan Van Der Merwe 1463 · Adrian Arcon 1478
Wihan Van Der MerweAdrian Arcon
Our model48%52%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Wihan Van Der MerweAdrian Arcon
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 29% (7) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31-1.2
Games (G-P)9.9-10.68.8-10
Aces2.14.7
Double faults2.92
1st serve %63.8%66.1%
Break %44%31.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wihan Van Der Merwe

WLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Stefan Storch
M25 Darwin
2-1 13-12 W
19/09 Alec Braund
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
1-2 11-17 L
18/09 Casey Hoole
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
17/09 Elijah Cham
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
15/09 Andre Filep
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/09 Daniel Howard
UTR Pro Sydney · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
06/09 Veerawit Kamput
M15 Nonthaburi Qual · ~Hard
1-2 10-11 L
30/08 Keerthivassan Suresh
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
1-2 8-8 L
22/07 Matt Hulme
M15 Brisbane
0-2 5-12 L
21/07 Eric Tripathi
M15 Brisbane
2-0 13-8 W

Adrian Arcon

LLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Luca Connaughton
M25 Darwin
1-2 9-12 L
30/09 Zak Talic
M25 Darwin
0-2 5-12 L
29/09 Aleksandar Govedarica
M25 Darwin
2-0 13-8 W
09/09 Markus Malaszszak
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
02/09 Chen Dong
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
31/08 Yuki Ikeda
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-1 10-11 W
30/08 Tachatam Srisen
M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/08 Fanming Meng
M15 Tianjin
0-2 6-12 L
12/08 Shintaro Imai
M15 Tianjin
2-1 15-14 W
11/08 Yuquan Jin
M15 Tianjin
1-0 6-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wihan Van Der Merwe vs Adrian Arcon?

Our model gives 55% to Wihan Van Der Merwe, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.