Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 08/10, 04:00
Prediction: Ryan Seggerman vs Kaichi Uchida
Team pages: Ryan Seggerman · Kaichi Uchida
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Seggerman
Kaichi Uchida
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Seggerman
5-5 (W-L)
Kaichi Uchida
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryan Seggerman
1–0
Kaichi Uchida
(1 last)
- 02 Jul2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Seggerman 1537 · Kaichi Uchida 1409
| Ryan Seggerman | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Seggerman (rating 1537 vs 1409).
- Ryan Seggerman is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ryan Seggerman 1–0 Kaichi Uchida (1).
- Note: Ryan Seggerman makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Ryan Seggerman | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-13 | 7.6-12.4 |
| Aces | 19.7 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 78.9% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 28.8% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Ryan Seggerman 1 – 0 Kaichi Uchida (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryan Seggerman 1–0 Kaichi Uchida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/24 Challenger Bloomfield Hills | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Seggerman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 05/10 | Maxim Zhukov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Naoki Tajima Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 22/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Kaichi Uchida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Linang Xiao Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Bernard Tomic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Seggerman vs Kaichi Uchida?
Our model gives 72% to Ryan Seggerman, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.