Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 07/10, 05:00
Prediction: Hiroki Moriya vs Keisuke Saitoh
Team pages: Hiroki Moriya · Keisuke Saitoh
Prediction summary
Winner
Hiroki Moriya
Keisuke Saitoh
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroki Moriya
5-5 (W-L)
Keisuke Saitoh
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroki Moriya 1529 · Keisuke Saitoh 1564
| Hiroki Moriya | Keisuke Saitoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Keisuke Saitoh is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Hiroki Moriya | Keisuke Saitoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.4 | 12.4-7.7 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 65.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Jilong Huang Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Blake Ellis Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 09/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Dominik Palan Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/08 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Keisuke Saitoh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Dominik Palan Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/10 | Zicong Wang Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/09 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 12/09 | Seong Chan Hong M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/09 | Yu Tanaka M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Kokoro Isomura M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroki Moriya vs Keisuke Saitoh?
Our model gives 51% to Keisuke Saitoh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.