Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 08/10, 04:00

Prediction: Jay Friend vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Team pages: Jay Friend · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Jay Friend Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Friend 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWLWLW
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jay Friend 1577 · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1548
Jay FriendMitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Our model54%46%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jay FriendMitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.4-1
Games (G-P)11.6-1011.7-10.3
Aces4.95.7
Double faults3.32.6
1st serve %73.5%74.1%
Break %59%48.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jay Friend

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Yuta Kikuchi
Challenger Wuning · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/09 Max Basing
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
1-2 9-13 L
12/09 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
11/09 Yanki Erel
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
10/09 Samir Hamza Reguig
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
08/09 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 14-14 W
03/09 Billy Harris
Challenger Manacor · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/09 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
26/08 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
25/08 Michael Geerts
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/10 Sidharth Rawat
Challenger Wuning · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
29/09 Marat Sharipov
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/09 Thomas Fancutt
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
18/09 Petr Bar Biryukov
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
1-2 18-18 L
17/09 James Trotter
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/09 Sergey Fomin
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
13/09 Ye Hongyu
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
08/09 Omar Jasika
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
06/09 Takeru Yuzuki
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
2-1 14-15 W
05/09 Ilia Simakin
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
1-2 13-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jay Friend vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong?

Our model gives 64% to Jay Friend, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.