Tennis · M15 Quito · 06/10, 16:30

Prediction: Ivan Dreycopp vs Juan Sebastian Gomez

Team pages: Ivan Dreycopp · Juan Sebastian Gomez

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Ivan Dreycopp Juan Sebastian Gomez
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Dreycopp 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWLW
Juan Sebastian Gomez 3-7 (W-L)
WWWLLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ivan Dreycopp 1534 · Juan Sebastian Gomez 1469
Ivan DreycoppJuan Sebastian Gomez
Our model59%41%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivan Dreycopp (rating 1534 vs 1469).
  • Note: Juan Sebastian Gomez makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Ivan DreycoppJuan Sebastian Gomez
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay – 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-10.9-1.4
Games (G-P)10.8-10.210.9-12
Aces2.42.4
Double faults1.84.7
1st serve %67.7%63.3%
Break %39%43.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ivan Dreycopp

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Trelew
1-2 12-18 L
02/09 Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Trelew
2-1 17-9 W
02/09 Vicente Jose Benitez
M15 Trelew
2-0 12-8 W
31/08 Tobia Grandinetti
M15 Trelew
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 Santiago Franchini
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 13-10 W
04/08 Maximo Zeitune
M25 Londrina
0-2 2-12 L
03/08 Ryan Augusto Dos Santos
M25 Londrina
2-0 12-6 W
21/07 Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava
M25 Sao Paulo
1-2 8-10 L
20/07 Gabriel Schenekenberg
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 14-13 W
25/06 Mert Alkaya
M25 Porto
0-2 6-12 L

Juan Sebastian Gomez

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
30/06 Ignacio Monzon
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
17/06 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
15/06 Carlos Maria Zarate
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
09/06 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
02/05 Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L
01/05 Andres Urrea
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W
30/04 Lucca Pinto
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
28/04 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
23/04 Herman Hoeyeraal
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 16-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ivan Dreycopp vs Juan Sebastian Gomez?

Our model gives 51% to Juan Sebastian Gomez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.