Prediction: Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado vs Mwendwa Mbithi
Team pages: Mwendwa Mbithi
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado
Mwendwa Mbithi
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado
2-8 (W-L)
Mwendwa Mbithi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado 1444 · Mwendwa Mbithi 1490
| Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado | Mwendwa Mbithi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mwendwa Mbithi (rating 1444 vs 1490).
- Mwendwa Mbithi is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado | Mwendwa Mbithi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6-10.8 | 11.9-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 55.5% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 20.5% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Facundo Perlov M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Yannik Alvarez Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Darian King Davis Cup |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Petr Iamachkine M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 20/04 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 24/02 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 San Jose |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 18/02 | Daniel Milavsky M25 San Jose |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Daniel Antonio Nunez ITF M15 Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Mwendwa Mbithi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Niels Peter Van Noord M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Andres Delgadillo M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/07 | Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/07 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 05/07 | Christopher Papa Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Matias Soto Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 02/05 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/05 | Fernando Cavallo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado vs Mwendwa Mbithi?
Our model gives 69% to Mwendwa Mbithi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.