Tennis · W15 Chisinau · 07/10, 09:00

Prediction: Maria Mikhailova vs Melissa Boyden

Team pages: Maria Mikhailova · Melissa Boyden

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Maria Mikhailova Melissa Boyden
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Mikhailova 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLWLLWLL
Melissa Boyden 3-7 (W-L)
LWWLLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Mikhailova 1438 · Melissa Boyden 1415
Maria MikhailovaMelissa Boyden
Our model53%47%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Maria Mikhailova makes many double faults (5.6/match).
  • Note: Melissa Boyden makes many double faults (5.2/match).

Statistics

Maria MikhailovaMelissa Boyden
Win %20%10%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 20% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.60.5-1.8
Games (G-P)7.8-11.55.9-11.8
Aces0.60.8
Double faults5.65.2
1st serve %51.8%41.2%
Break %44.1%38%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Mikhailova

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Zeel Desai
W15 Astana
0-2 7-12 L
04/08 Ha Eum Lee
W15 Astana
0-2 3-12 L
28/07 Sandugash Kenzhibayeva
W15 Astana
1-2 10-17 L
14/07 Daria Belyaeva
W15 Astana
0-2 7-12 L
18/06 Federica Sacco
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
16/06 Leonie Rabl
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
15/06 Warda Ait El Bachir
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/06 Lorena Solar Donoso
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
03/06 Mirabelle Tahiri
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
28/05 Anna Sedysheva
W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L

Melissa Boyden

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Alisa Baranovska
UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
18/09 Victoria Borodulina
UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
17/09 Silvia Njiric
UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
16/09 Ingrid Vojcinakova
UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/09 Lucia Cassidy
UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
01/09 Alexia-Shara Iancu
W15 Brasov
0-2 2-12 L
25/08 Ilinca D Amariei
W15 Brasov
0-2 0-12 L
29/07 Saoirse Breen
W15 Savitaipale
1-2 8-17 L
21/07 Sveva Sveva Fumagalli
W15 Cluj Napoca
1-2 7-10 L
08/07 Victoria Bosio
W35 Buzau
1-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Mikhailova vs Melissa Boyden?

Our model gives 51% to Maria Mikhailova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.