Tennis · Challenger Braga · 08/10, 10:00
Prediction: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moller
Team pages: Zsombor Piros · Elmer Moller
Prediction summary
Winner
Zsombor Piros
Elmer Moller
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Zsombor Piros
7-3 (W-L)
Elmer Moller
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zsombor Piros
1–0
Elmer Moller
(1 last)
- 17 May2-1 15-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zsombor Piros 1557 · Elmer Moller 1456
| Zsombor Piros | Elmer Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zsombor Piros (rating 1557 vs 1456).
- Zsombor Piros is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Zsombor Piros 1–0 Elmer Moller (1).
- Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Zsombor Piros | Elmer Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.5 | 10.4-12.9 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Zsombor Piros 1 – 0 Elmer Moller (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zsombor Piros 1–0 Elmer Moller
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Challenger Zagreb | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zsombor Piros
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Alex Knaff Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Mattia Bellucci US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 6-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Daniil Glinka US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Max Alcala Gurri US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Elmer Moller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 29/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Iliyan Radulov Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Grigor Dimitrov Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Coleman Wong US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moller?
Our model gives 61% to Zsombor Piros, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.