Tennis · M15 Quito · 06/10, 16:30

Prediction: Matteo Covato vs Dakotah Bobo

Team pages: Matteo Covato · Dakotah Bobo

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Matteo Covato Dakotah Bobo
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Covato 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLLLLLWL
Dakotah Bobo 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWWLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matteo Covato 1396 · Dakotah Bobo 1507
Matteo CovatoDakotah Bobo
Our model35%65%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dakotah Bobo (rating 1396 vs 1507).
  • Dakotah Bobo is in better form: 50% recent wins.

Statistics

Matteo CovatoDakotah Bobo
Win %10%50%
Win % · Clay 0% (2) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.4-1.91.1-1.3
Games (G-P)8.1-139.4-11
Aces6.63.8
Double faults1.43.1
1st serve %61.3%65.1%
Break %24.8%36.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matteo Covato

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Stefan Seifert
M15 Forbach
0-2 3-12 L
22/09 Victor Barrere
M15 Forbach
2-1 16-12 W
13/09 Izan Almazan Valiente
Challenger Biella · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
06/09 Leo Raquillet
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/08 Fausto Tabacco
Challenger Como · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
26/08 Luca Wiedenmann
M25 Oldenzaal
0-2 8-12 L
18/08 Denis Yevseyev
M25 Ueberlingen
0-2 7-12 L
11/08 Adrien Berrut
M25 Muttenz
1-2 12-18 L
29/07 Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
21/07 Oliver Sanders
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Dakotah Bobo

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Marko Mesarovic
M15 Ann Arbor
0-2 7-13 L
23/09 Oliver Bonding
M15 Columbia
0-2 7-12 L
26/08 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Mar Del Plata
0-2 6-12 L
25/08 Felipe Pagnacco
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-1 11-12 W
21/08 Gonzalo Villanueva
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
19/08 Tomas Martinez
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W
18/08 Alvaro Frutos Alonso
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
13/08 Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
12/08 Martin Antonio Vergara del Puerto
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/08 Agustin Eduardo Cuellar Lorberg
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 8-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matteo Covato vs Dakotah Bobo?

Our model gives 68% to Dakotah Bobo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.