Tennis · W50 Lexington · 06/10, 19:00
Prediction: Arantxa Rus vs Ena Koike
Team pages: Arantxa Rus · Ena Koike
Prediction summary
Winner
Arantxa Rus
Ena Koike
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Arantxa Rus
4-6 (W-L)
Ena Koike
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arantxa Rus 1499 · Ena Koike 1440
| Arantxa Rus | Ena Koike | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arantxa Rus (rating 1499 vs 1440).
- Note: Ena Koike makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Arantxa Rus | Ena Koike | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.9 | 10.3-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arantxa Rus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Mia Ristic WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Leolia Jeanjean US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Susan Bandecchi US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Suzan Lamens US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Teodora Kostovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Britt Du Pree W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Anna Kubareva W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Oceane Dodin W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Dominika Salkova W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Ena Koike
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Arianna Zucchini W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/09 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Laura Valentina Villamil Arias WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Sakura Hosogi W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Kaede Usui W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arantxa Rus vs Ena Koike?
Our model gives 57% to Arantxa Rus, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.