Tennis · W50 Lexington · 06/10, 19:00
Prediction: Linea Bajraliu vs Lea Ma
Team pages: Linea Bajraliu · Lea Ma
Prediction summary
Winner
Linea Bajraliu
Lea Ma
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Linea Bajraliu
7-3 (W-L)
Lea Ma
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linea Bajraliu 1535 · Lea Ma 1479
| Linea Bajraliu | Lea Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linea Bajraliu (rating 1535 vs 1479).
- Linea Bajraliu is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Linea Bajraliu | Lea Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-7.1 | 9.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linea Bajraliu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Gentofte |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Yara Bartashevich W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Berfu Cengiz W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Marie Weckerle W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sandra Samir W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Jenny Lim W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Jade Groen W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Dia Evtimova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lea Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Tatjana Maria W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Victoria Hu W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Alana Smith WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Granby |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Lizette Cabrera W75 Granby |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Haruka Kaji W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-1 | 12-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linea Bajraliu vs Lea Ma?
Our model gives 59% to Lea Ma, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.