Tennis · W50 Lexington · 06/10, 19:00
Prediction: Kylie Collins vs Hina Inoue
Team pages: Kylie Collins · Hina Inoue
Prediction summary
Winner
Kylie Collins
Hina Inoue
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Kylie Collins
5-5 (W-L)
Hina Inoue
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kylie Collins
0–1
Hina Inoue
(1 last)
- 15 Jan1-2 17-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kylie Collins 1548 · Hina Inoue 1508
| Kylie Collins | Hina Inoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kylie Collins (rating 1548 vs 1508).
- Head-to-head: Kylie Collins 0–1 Hina Inoue (1).
- Note: Kylie Collins makes many double faults (6.4/match).
- Note: Hina Inoue makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Kylie Collins | Hina Inoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9 | 10.4-12 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 6 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Kylie Collins 0 – 1 Hina Inoue (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kylie Collins 0–1 Hina Inoue
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/26 W35 Bradenton | 1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kylie Collins
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Francisca Jorge W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Ivana Sebestova W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Valentina Steiner WTA Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Mia Pohankova WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 14/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Iveta Dapkute W50 Evora |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Hina Inoue
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Mutsumi Uemura W35 Kyoto |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 11/09 | Yufei Ren W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Sofia Costoulas W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Miho Kuramochi W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Olivia Lincer W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Dana Guzman W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/07 | Kate Fakih W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kylie Collins vs Hina Inoue?
Our model gives 56% to Kylie Collins, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.