Tennis · W50 Lexington · 07/10, 16:00
Prediction: Mimi Xu vs Aspen Schuman
Team pages: Mimi Xu · Aspen Schuman
Prediction summary
Winner
Mimi Xu
Aspen Schuman
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mimi Xu
5-5 (W-L)
Aspen Schuman
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mimi Xu 1455 · Aspen Schuman 1519
| Mimi Xu | Aspen Schuman | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aspen Schuman (rating 1455 vs 1519).
- Aspen Schuman is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Mimi Xu makes many double faults (7.7/match).
- Note: Aspen Schuman makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Mimi Xu | Aspen Schuman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.1 | 10.2-9.3 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 7.7 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mimi Xu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Madison Brengle W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Susan Bandecchi W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Edie Griffiths W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Mary Lewis W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Eliz Maloney W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Katja Wiersholm W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Eva Lopez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/01 | Erika Andreeva W100 Fujairah |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Aspen Schuman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Helena Bueno W35 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 17/07 | Savannah Dada Mascoll W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Denise Valente W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Eva Lopez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Victoria Milovanova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Sun Min Ha W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mimi Xu vs Aspen Schuman?
Our model gives 61% to Mimi Xu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.