Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 06/10, 10:30
Prediction: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Giammarco Gandolfi
Team pages: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei · Giammarco Gandolfi
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
Giammarco Gandolfi
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
2-8 (W-L)
Giammarco Gandolfi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
0–1
Giammarco Gandolfi
(1 last)
- 07 Sept0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei 1450 · Giammarco Gandolfi 1490
| Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | Giammarco Gandolfi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giammarco Gandolfi (rating 1450 vs 1490).
- Head-to-head: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei 0–1 Giammarco Gandolfi (1).
Statistics
| Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | Giammarco Gandolfi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-12.1 | 8-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 35% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei 0 – 1 Giammarco Gandolfi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei 0–1 Giammarco Gandolfi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/25 M25 Pozzuoli | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Pozzuoli |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Manuel Plunger M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Ammar Elamin M15 Warsaw |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Piotr Siekanowicz M15 Warsaw |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Mattia Cona M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Karel Froemel M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Hugo Car M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Giammarco Gandolfi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Kolos Kincses M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Niklas Guttau M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 13/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Daniel Verbeek M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 18/06 | Simon Reveniau M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Louis Larue M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Avi Shugar M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Giammarco Gandolfi?
Our model gives 59% to Giammarco Gandolfi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.