Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 06/10, 09:00
Prediction: Dimitar Kisimov vs Alessandro Spadola
Team pages: Dimitar Kisimov · Alessandro Spadola
Prediction summary
Winner
Dimitar Kisimov
Alessandro Spadola
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Dimitar Kisimov
5-5 (W-L)
Alessandro Spadola
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dimitar Kisimov 1571 · Alessandro Spadola 1499
| Dimitar Kisimov | Alessandro Spadola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dimitar Kisimov (rating 1571 vs 1499).
Statistics
| Dimitar Kisimov | Alessandro Spadola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11 | 11.1-11 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dimitar Kisimov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Semen Pankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Denis Klok M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/08 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 30/07 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Alessandro Spadola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 6-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Vincent Reisach M15 Warsaw |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M15 Warsaw |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Jakub Hrynkiewicz M15 Warsaw |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Fano |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 03/08 | Maximilian Figl M25 Fano |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 17/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | William Mirarchi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dimitar Kisimov vs Alessandro Spadola?
Our model gives 67% to Dimitar Kisimov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.