Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 07/10, 09:00

Prediction: Karim Ibrahim vs Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka

Team pages: Karim Ibrahim · Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Karim Ibrahim Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Karim Ibrahim 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWLLLLWL
Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karim Ibrahim 1449 · Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka 1481
Karim IbrahimFerdinand Livet Novkirichka
Our model45%55%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Karim IbrahimFerdinand Livet Novkirichka
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.40.9-1.3
Games (G-P)11-12.89.4-10.8
Aces10.31.9
Double faults3.42.6
1st serve %73.7%56.4%
Break %29.4%38.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karim Ibrahim

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Fares Zakaria
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
24/09 Pietro Orlando Fellin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 16-19 L
23/09 Anton Arzhankin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 18-18 W
02/09 Jake Fellows
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L
26/08 Andrea Bacaloni
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-1 7-12 L
22/05 Markus Molder
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
21/05 Shanker Heisnam
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
20/05 Karim El Feky
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
13/05 Fares Zakaria
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
08/05 Filippo Francesco Garbero
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 7-10 L

Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Gawad El Feky
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/08 Pierre Antoine Tailleu
M15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 6-12 L
27/08 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-0 13-9 W
26/08 Andrea Baudel
M15 Cap d'Agde
2-1 15-13 W
06/08 Peter Makk
M15 Poprad
0-2 7-12 L
04/08 Matas Vasiliauskas
M15 Poprad
2-0 12-4 W
28/07 Valentin Faure
M15 Strasbourg
2-0 12-5 W
26/05 Alexandre Reco
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
1-2 15-17 L
12/05 Nik Mikovic
M15 Prijedor · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
06/05 Yaroslav Demin
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karim Ibrahim vs Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka?

Our model gives 56% to Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.