Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Michiel de Krom vs Andrey Chepelev
Team pages: Michiel de Krom · Andrey Chepelev
Prediction summary
Winner
Michiel de Krom
Andrey Chepelev
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Michiel de Krom
5-5 (W-L)
Andrey Chepelev
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michiel de Krom
0–1
Andrey Chepelev
(1 last)
- 07 May0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michiel de Krom 1471 · Andrey Chepelev 1535
| Michiel de Krom | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrey Chepelev (rating 1471 vs 1535).
- Head-to-head: Michiel de Krom 0–1 Andrey Chepelev (1).
Statistics
| Michiel de Krom | Andrey Chepelev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-9.5 | 10.6-9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Michiel de Krom 0 – 1 Andrey Chepelev (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michiel de Krom 0–1 Andrey Chepelev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/19 ITF M15 Las Palmas | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michiel de Krom
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Sander Jong M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Mario Martinez Serrano M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Carles Rojas M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Richard Zusman M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Toprak Avcibasi M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Luke Bollinger M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Andrey Chepelev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Alessandro Battiston M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Jeremy Gschwendtner Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Niccolo Ciavarella Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michiel de Krom vs Andrey Chepelev?
Our model gives 62% to Andrey Chepelev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.