Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Giorgio Tabacco
Team pages: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes · Giorgio Tabacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Giorgio Tabacco
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
7-3 (W-L)
Giorgio Tabacco
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1496 · Giorgio Tabacco 1511
| Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12 | 11-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 51% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Max Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/08 | Tyler Bowers M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Noah Zamora M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Simon Caldwell M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
Giorgio Tabacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/09 | John Echeverria M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
| 17/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Max Basing M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Giorgio Tabacco?
Our model gives 51% to Giorgio Tabacco, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.