Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Alexander Weis vs Fausto Tabacco
Team pages: Alexander Weis · Fausto Tabacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Weis
Fausto Tabacco
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Weis
6-4 (W-L)
Fausto Tabacco
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Weis
1–0
Fausto Tabacco
(1 last)
- 31 Jul2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Weis 1491 · Fausto Tabacco 1561
| Alexander Weis | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fausto Tabacco (rating 1491 vs 1561).
- Head-to-head: Alexander Weis 1–0 Fausto Tabacco (1).
- Note: Fausto Tabacco makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Weis | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.9 | 11.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 58.1% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Alexander Weis 1 – 0 Fausto Tabacco (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Weis 1–0 Fausto Tabacco
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/23 Challenger San Marino | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Weis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Adrien Burdet M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Oscar Blardone M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Kasra Rahmani M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Fausto Tabacco
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Adria Soriano Barrera M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Weis vs Fausto Tabacco?
Our model gives 50% to Alexander Weis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.