Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Martin Van Der Meerschen vs Gabriele Crivellaro
Team pages: Martin Van Der Meerschen · Gabriele Crivellaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Van Der Meerschen
Gabriele Crivellaro
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Van Der Meerschen
6-4 (W-L)
Gabriele Crivellaro
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Van Der Meerschen 1531 · Gabriele Crivellaro 1493
| Martin Van Der Meerschen | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Martin Van Der Meerschen makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Martin Van Der Meerschen | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.8 | 10.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 54% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Van Der Meerschen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Noah Lopez M15 Sibenik |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Mak Mikovic M15 Sibenik |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Alessandro Battiston M15 Sibenik |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Sibenik |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Florent Lagarrigue M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Matteo Vavassori M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Radimir Lutkovskii M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Roman Kharlamov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Marat Salbiev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Gabriele Crivellaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Daniele Minighini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Nik Mikovic M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Radovan Michalik M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Van Der Meerschen vs Gabriele Crivellaro?
Our model gives 65% to Martin Van Der Meerschen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.