Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Federico Iannaccone vs Lorenzo Carboni
Team pages: Federico Iannaccone · Lorenzo Carboni
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Iannaccone
Lorenzo Carboni
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Iannaccone
6-4 (W-L)
Lorenzo Carboni
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Federico Iannaccone
1–1
Lorenzo Carboni
(2 last)
- 10 Mar2-0 12-5W
- 18 Sept0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Iannaccone 1503 · Lorenzo Carboni 1495
| Federico Iannaccone | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Federico Iannaccone | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.7 | 9-9 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 56.5% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 64.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
H2H · Federico Iannaccone 1 – 1 Lorenzo Carboni (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Federico Iannaccone 1–1 Lorenzo Carboni
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/26 Challenger Hersonissos | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09/24 M25 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Iannaccone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Tomaso Calla Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alexander Weis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Lorenzo Carboni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Sander Jong M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Noah Karma M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Nicolas Ulrich M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Iannaccone vs Lorenzo Carboni?
Our model gives 51% to Federico Iannaccone, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.