Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 07/10, 09:00
Prediction: Daniel Michalski vs Lorenzo Bocchi
Team pages: Daniel Michalski · Lorenzo Bocchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Michalski
Lorenzo Bocchi
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Michalski
9-1 (W-L)
Lorenzo Bocchi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Michalski 1597 · Lorenzo Bocchi 1477
| Daniel Michalski | Lorenzo Bocchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Michalski (rating 1597 vs 1477).
- Daniel Michalski is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniel Michalski | Lorenzo Bocchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7 | 10-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Michalski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/09 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Giacomo Crisostomo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Beraldo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Matyas Cerny M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Jan Wygona M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lorenzo Bocchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Lorenzo Berto Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | John Sperle M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Matthew William Donald M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/07 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Michalski vs Lorenzo Bocchi?
Our model gives 77% to Daniel Michalski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.