Tennis · Challenger Braga · 06/10, 11:00
Prediction: Johan Nikles vs Miguel Damas
Team pages: Johan Nikles · Miguel Damas
Prediction summary
Winner
Johan Nikles
Miguel Damas
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Johan Nikles
8-2 (W-L)
Miguel Damas
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Johan Nikles
2–0
Miguel Damas
(2 last)
- 18 May2-0 13-9W
- 15 Apr2-0 12-1W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johan Nikles 1592 · Miguel Damas 1503
| Johan Nikles | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Johan Nikles (rating 1592 vs 1503).
- Johan Nikles is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Johan Nikles 2–0 Miguel Damas (2).
Statistics
| Johan Nikles | Miguel Damas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9 | 10.8-11 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Johan Nikles 2 – 0 Miguel Damas (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Johan Nikles 2–0 Miguel Damas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/21 M25 Vic | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/04/21 M25 Reus | 2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johan Nikles
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Vladyslav Orlov Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Martim Bernardo Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 31/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Miguel Damas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Xavi Palomar M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/09 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 01/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 26/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/08 | Marko Topo Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johan Nikles vs Miguel Damas?
Our model gives 52% to Johan Nikles, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.