Tennis · M25 Darwin · 06/10, 10:30
Prediction: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric
Team pages: Jack Bruce-Smith · Dimitri Bagaric
Prediction summary
Winner
Jack Bruce-Smith
Dimitri Bagaric
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jack Bruce-Smith
5-5 (W-L)
Dimitri Bagaric
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jack Bruce-Smith 1500 · Dimitri Bagaric 1396
| Jack Bruce-Smith | Dimitri Bagaric | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jack Bruce-Smith (rating 1500 vs 1396).
- Jack Bruce-Smith is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Jack Bruce-Smith makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Jack Bruce-Smith | Dimitri Bagaric | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 11% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.2-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.9 | 5.4-11.3 |
| Aces | 9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 77.6% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 35% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jack Bruce-Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Lachlan Vickery M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Haruto Ishikawa M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Matthew Shearer M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Jake Dembo ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Mathieu Perchicot ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Andras Necz ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Ivan Sodan ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Raghav Jaisinghani ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Bali |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Dimitri Bagaric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Jacob Cairncross UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Jerome Estephan UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Matthew Burton UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Launceston |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 10/01 | Chase Zhao UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/01 | Luke Cripps UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/01 | Luca Connaughton UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Wagga Wagga · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric?
Our model gives 72% to Jack Bruce-Smith, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.