Tennis · M25 Darwin · 06/10, 07:30
Prediction: Stefan Storch vs Wihan Van Der Merwe
Team pages: Stefan Storch · Wihan Van Der Merwe
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Storch
Wihan Van Der Merwe
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Storch
2-8 (W-L)
Wihan Van Der Merwe
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Storch 1491 · Wihan Van Der Merwe 1450
| Stefan Storch | Wihan Van Der Merwe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefan Storch (rating 1491 vs 1450).
- Stefan Storch dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 44.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Stefan Storch | Wihan Van Der Merwe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.1 | 9.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Storch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Philip Sekulic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Har Abir Sekhon M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Haruto Ishikawa M15 Bali |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 03/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Matthew Shearer M15 Bali |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Reiya Komagata M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Kazuki Nakajima M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Manish Sureshkumar M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Wihan Van Der Merwe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Andre Filep UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Daniel Howard UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Veerawit Kamput M15 Nonthaburi Qual · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 30/08 | Keerthivassan Suresh M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-8 | L |
| 22/07 | Matt Hulme M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Eric Tripathi M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Colin Sinclair M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Storch vs Wihan Van Der Merwe?
Our model gives 59% to Stefan Storch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.