Tennis · M25 Darwin · 07/10, 02:30
Prediction: Herman Hoeyeraal vs Chen Dong
Team pages: Herman Hoeyeraal · Chen Dong
Prediction summary
Winner
Herman Hoeyeraal
Chen Dong
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Herman Hoeyeraal
6-4 (W-L)
Chen Dong
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Herman Hoeyeraal 1502 · Chen Dong 1481
| Herman Hoeyeraal | Chen Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Herman Hoeyeraal makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Herman Hoeyeraal | Chen Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.8 | 9.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 33.7% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Herman Hoeyeraal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Philip Sekulic M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Reece Falck M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Ethan Cook M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Filip Drab M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Jonathan Mridha M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Xativa |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Yeray Andres Pastor M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Chen Dong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Colin Sinclair M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Makoto Ochi M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Dev Javia M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Manish Sureshkumar M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Adrian Arcon M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Emile Hudd M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Herman Hoeyeraal vs Chen Dong?
Our model gives 58% to Herman Hoeyeraal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.