Tennis · M25 Darwin · 07/10, 02:30
Prediction: Derek Pham vs Scott Jones
Team pages: Derek Pham · Scott Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Derek Pham
Scott Jones
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Derek Pham
7-3 (W-L)
Scott Jones
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Derek Pham
0–2
Scott Jones
(2 last)
- 28 Aug1-2 12-15L
- 08 Jul0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Derek Pham 1540 · Scott Jones 1626
| Derek Pham | Scott Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Scott Jones (rating 1540 vs 1626).
- Head-to-head: Derek Pham 0–2 Scott Jones (2).
Statistics
| Derek Pham | Scott Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 100% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.7 | 11.3-6.2 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 74% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Derek Pham 0 – 2 Scott Jones (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Derek Pham 0–2 Scott Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/26 UTR Pro Gold Coast | 1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/07/20 UTR Pro Tennis Series Perth | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Derek Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Jake Delaney M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Jeremy Beale M25 Darwin |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Joshua Charlton M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Ashwin Ryan Sharma M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Hayden Jones UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Clint Charles UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Scott Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Shintaro Imai M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Benjamin O'Connell M25 Darwin |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 20/09 | Casey Hoole UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/09 | Arjun Mehrotra UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Zachary Adam-Gedge UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/09 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Nathan Boniel UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Alec Braund UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Alex Bulte UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Derek Pham vs Scott Jones?
Our model gives 57% to Scott Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.