Tennis · M25 Darwin · 07/10, 02:30

Prediction: Lachlan Vickery vs Colin Sinclair

Team pages: Lachlan Vickery · Colin Sinclair

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Lachlan Vickery Colin Sinclair
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lachlan Vickery 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWLWWWL
Colin Sinclair 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lachlan Vickery 1497 · Colin Sinclair 1508
Lachlan VickeryColin Sinclair
Our model48%52%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lachlan VickeryColin Sinclair
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (6) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.2-1.3
Games (G-P)10.4-10.512.4-13.3
Aces2.89.2
Double faults3.21.6
1st serve %66.1%74.3%
Break %56.4%36.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lachlan Vickery

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/10 Jake Delaney
M25 Darwin
0-2 9-13 L
30/09 Jack Bruce-Smith
M25 Darwin
2-0 14-11 W
29/09 Harry Roberts
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-4 W
16/09 Qian Sun
M25 Guiyang
1-2 11-18 L
09/09 Geun Jun Kim
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
08/09 Jilong Huang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/09 Hiromasa Koyama
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
01/09 Lin Hao-Yu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W
04/06 Jesse Delaney
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
02/06 Ryder Jackson
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W

Colin Sinclair

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/10 Casey Hoole
M25 Darwin
1-2 11-16 L
01/10 Chen Dong
M25 Darwin
2-0 13-10 W
30/09 Stefan Vujic
M25 Darwin
2-1 18-14 W
23/09 Zijiang Yang
M25 Yinchuan
0-2 9-13 L
16/09 Rio Noguchi
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
14/09 Linang Xiao
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
09/09 Boxiong Zhang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
05/09 Qian Sun
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
04/09 Zijiang Yang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 15-12 W
03/09 Shaoyun Liu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lachlan Vickery vs Colin Sinclair?

Our model gives 66% to Colin Sinclair, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.