Tennis · M25 Darwin · 07/10, 02:30
Prediction: Makoto Ochi vs Hayden Jones
Team pages: Makoto Ochi · Hayden Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Makoto Ochi
Hayden Jones
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Makoto Ochi
5-5 (W-L)
Hayden Jones
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Makoto Ochi 1470 · Hayden Jones 1612
| Makoto Ochi | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hayden Jones (rating 1470 vs 1612).
- Hayden Jones is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Makoto Ochi | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.4 | 12.4-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 74.5% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Makoto Ochi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Chen Dong M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yuki Mochizuki M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Seiya Nakanishi M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Yu Tanaka M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Yuya Hirose M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Drazen Petrovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Pietro Pampanin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Hayden Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Casey Hoole M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Scott Jones M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Arjun Mehrotra M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/09 | Harrison Satara M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Raghav Jaisinghani M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/09 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Bali |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Blake Ellis M15 Bali |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Eric Tripathi UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Makoto Ochi vs Hayden Jones?
Our model gives 74% to Hayden Jones, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.