Tennis · M25 Darwin · 07/10, 02:30
Prediction: Jake Delaney vs Harrison Satara
Team pages: Jake Delaney · Harrison Satara
Prediction summary
Winner
Jake Delaney
Harrison Satara
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jake Delaney
2-8 (W-L)
Harrison Satara
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jake Delaney 1486 · Harrison Satara 1505
| Jake Delaney | Harrison Satara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Harrison Satara dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 54.1% break avg.
- Note: Harrison Satara makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Jake Delaney | Harrison Satara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-12.6 | 11.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 11.8 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Lachlan Vickery M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 01/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Hyeon Chung M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Harrison Satara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Hayden Jones M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Alec Braund M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Maksim Shin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/09 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Kazuki Nakajima M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Charlie Pade M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 28/07 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jake Delaney vs Harrison Satara?
Our model gives 66% to Jake Delaney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.