Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 07/10, 04:00
Prediction: Yaroslav Demin vs Akira Santillan
Team pages: Yaroslav Demin · Akira Santillan
Prediction summary
Winner
Yaroslav Demin
Akira Santillan
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yaroslav Demin
5-5 (W-L)
Akira Santillan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yaroslav Demin 1502 · Akira Santillan 1471
| Yaroslav Demin | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yaroslav Demin | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.3 | 10.6-11 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yaroslav Demin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jack Loge M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Niklas Schell M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Yassine Smiej M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Pablo Aunion M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Carles Hernandez M25 Santander |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Akira Santillan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Kaigaoge Kang ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Yaojie Zeng Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Sanhui Shin M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yaroslav Demin vs Akira Santillan?
Our model gives 53% to Akira Santillan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.