Tennis · Challenger Wuning · 06/10, 09:30
Prediction: Jay Friend vs Yuta Kikuchi
Team pages: Jay Friend · Yuta Kikuchi
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Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Friend
Yuta Kikuchi
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Friend
4-6 (W-L)
Yuta Kikuchi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Friend 1551 · Yuta Kikuchi 1503
| Jay Friend | Yuta Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jay Friend (rating 1551 vs 1503).
Statistics
| Jay Friend | Yuta Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.7 | 9-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 62% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Friend
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Yuta Kikuchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Kousuke Ogura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Sena Okabe M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Qian Sun M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Friend vs Yuta Kikuchi?
Our model gives 73% to Jay Friend, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.