Tennis · W50 Lexington · 05/10, 20:30

Prediction: Misa Malkin vs Amaliia Elizarova

Team pages: Misa Malkin

Prediction summary
Winner
75% 25%
Misa Malkin Amaliia Elizarova
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Misa Malkin 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLWWLLL
Amaliia Elizarova 0-10 (W-L)
LLLLLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Misa Malkin 1495 · Amaliia Elizarova 1375
Misa MalkinAmaliia Elizarova
Our model67%33%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Misa Malkin (rating 1495 vs 1375).
  • Misa Malkin is in better form: 50% recent wins.

Statistics

Misa MalkinAmaliia Elizarova
Win %50%0%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 0% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20-2
Games (G-P)10.5-11.22.8-12
Aces0.10.3
Double faults3.83.5
1st serve %54.3%30.8%
Break %46.6%10.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Misa Malkin

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Emma Kamper
W15 Nashville
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Yui Watanabe
W15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/07 Mika Buchnik
W15 Huamantla · ~Hard
1-2 12-17 L
24/07 Gabriella Price
W15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-1 15-18 W
22/07 Montserrat Marron Baruqui
W15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
11/07 Veronika Miroshnichenko
W15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 5-12 L
10/07 Gloriana Nahum
W15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Barakat Oyinlomo Quadre
W15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-0 13-6 W
08/07 Amy Lee
W15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-1 15-10 W
24/06 Elizabeth Ionescu
W35 Rome
0-2 9-13 L

Amaliia Elizarova

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Theadora Rabman
W50 Columbus
0-2 1-12 L
26/05 Kira Matushkina
W35 Wichita · ~Hard
0-2 0-12 L
18/05 Jaedan Brown
W50 Pelham · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
21/04 Diae El Jardi
W35 Charlotte
0-2 0-12 L
28/02 Natalie Oliver
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/01 Shravani Chennamsetty
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
16/01 Cookie Jarvis-Tredgett
UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
05/12 Anna Parkhomenko
UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
03/12 Emma Dvorackova
UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
02/12 Adelie Osher
UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Misa Malkin vs Amaliia Elizarova?

Our model gives 75% to Misa Malkin, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.