Tennis · W50 Lexington · 05/10, 19:00
Prediction: Isabella Marton vs Diana Ilie
Team pages: Isabella Marton · Diana Ilie
Prediction summary
Winner
Isabella Marton
Diana Ilie
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Isabella Marton
3-7 (W-L)
Diana Ilie
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isabella Marton 1454 · Diana Ilie 1412
| Isabella Marton | Diana Ilie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isabella Marton (rating 1454 vs 1412).
- Isabella Marton is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Isabella Marton | Diana Ilie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-10.5 | 6.4-12.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 47.7% |
| Break % | 31.9% | 28.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isabella Marton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Sophia Webster W15 Nashville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Sofia Johnson W50 Evora |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Thara Gowda W35 Saskatoon |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Saskatoon |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Nadia Lagaev W75 Granby |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Josie Usereau W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Diana Ilie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Margaux Rouvroy WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Angelica Raggi W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Micol Salvadori W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Valeriia Artemeva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Madison Brengle W100 Charlottesville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Jenna Dean W35 Jackson · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/03 | Ana Carmen Zamburek UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/03 | Dalayna Hewitt UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 16/03 | Stanislava Bobrovnikova UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/12 | Chelsea Fontenel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isabella Marton vs Diana Ilie?
Our model gives 65% to Isabella Marton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.