Tennis · W50 Lexington · 05/10, 20:30
Prediction: Mia Slama vs Kate Sharabura
Team pages: Mia Slama · Kate Sharabura
Prediction summary
Winner
Mia Slama
Kate Sharabura
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Slama
6-4 (W-L)
Kate Sharabura
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Slama 1492 · Kate Sharabura 1445
| Mia Slama | Kate Sharabura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Slama (rating 1492 vs 1445).
Statistics
| Mia Slama | Kate Sharabura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.3 | 8.6-11.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Slama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Malaika Rapolu W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Granby |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Sachia Vickery W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Anastasia Malysheva W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Francoise Abanda W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Caroline Driscoll W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Yexin Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 02/07 | Cadence Brace W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Kate Sharabura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Kateryna Lazarenko W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Sofia Montesinos Vilanova W15 Torello · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 07/08 | Esther Lovato UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Gabby Barrera UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Slama vs Kate Sharabura?
Our model gives 72% to Mia Slama, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.