Tennis · W50 Lexington · 05/10, 16:00
Prediction: Maria Kononova vs Eva Maria Ionescu
Team pages: Maria Kononova · Eva Maria Ionescu
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Kononova
Eva Maria Ionescu
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Kononova
6-4 (W-L)
Eva Maria Ionescu
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Kononova 1507 · Eva Maria Ionescu 1543
| Maria Kononova | Eva Maria Ionescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maria Kononova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Maria Kononova | Eva Maria Ionescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.2 | 10.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Kononova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Julia Zhu W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Sophie Llewellyn W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Aisha Merchant W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 22/07 | Kate Fakih W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Anna Grigoreva W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Christasha McNeil W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Elena Mireles W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Diae El Jardi W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Lily Fairclough W35 Rome |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lea Ma W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Eva Maria Ionescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Francesca Mattioli W15 Nashville |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Emily Welker UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Mia Kupres UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Amy Gray UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Yoana Konstantinova UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Iva Sepa UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Violeta Martinez UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Elena Pridankina WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Galati · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Alexandra Irina Anghel W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Kononova vs Eva Maria Ionescu?
Our model gives 61% to Eva Maria Ionescu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.