Tennis · W50 Lexington · 05/10, 16:00
Prediction: Carlota Moreno vs Victoria Osuigwe
Team pages: Carlota Moreno · Victoria Osuigwe
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlota Moreno
Victoria Osuigwe
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Carlota Moreno
4-6 (W-L)
Victoria Osuigwe
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlota Moreno 1559 · Victoria Osuigwe 1485
| Carlota Moreno | Victoria Osuigwe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlota Moreno (rating 1559 vs 1485).
- Carlota Moreno is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Carlota Moreno makes many double faults (5.5/match).
- Note: Victoria Osuigwe makes many double faults (7.9/match).
Statistics
| Carlota Moreno | Victoria Osuigwe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-10.7 | 11-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 7.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlota Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Merna Refaat W15 Nashville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Salma Drugdova W15 Nashville |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Maria Sholokhova W15 Nashville |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Jensen Diianni W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/09 | Luciana Perry UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Alice Battesti UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Sarah Mildren UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
Victoria Osuigwe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Carolina Gomez W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Reina Goto W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Malwina Rowinska W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Momoko Kobori W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Alden Russell UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Malwina Rowinska UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lillian Santos UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Chelsea Casapu UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlota Moreno vs Victoria Osuigwe?
Our model gives 57% to Carlota Moreno, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.